Saturday, December 1, 2018

A Doomed plan?

On November 25th the president of the European council, Donald Tusk announced that the EU 27 have approved May's Brexit deal clearing the path for the prime minster to take it to the House of Commons. Yet not everyone is as happy as the EU 27, as many ministers in parliament have voiced their disapproval at May's plan insisting that they have lost their veto power their voice as well as their representation in the eu parliament as now they can't decide on new policies which will directly affect the UK, a major issue with the leavers since they wanted all ties to be severed from the EU so they can "take back control of our own laws".
Left Theresa May right Donald Tusk

Many conservatives MP's has said that they will vote against this deal since it goes against the core of the "people vote" which for them translate to all ties being cut from the EU, with some conservative mp filling letters of no confidence against May which could trigger a leadership contest. This in the end will eventually hinder the Brexit process since time is not on the UK side with 29th March pressing fast.

To add to May's troubles Mr Gyimah has resigned his cabinet role and announced he will be voting against the Brexit plan making him the 10th cabinet minster to do so which highlights the divide not only within the conservative party but within May's own cabinet. Mr Gyimah resignation highlights what many are thinking that this deal is looking out only for the EU's interests since the UK has sunk £1.4 billion into the Galileo project which is an important project for the UK's military, so in the end why shouldn't a high paying investor not be allowed to access the project which they have funded?
Image result for mr gyimah
Mr Gyimah

So with a deal which is evermore seeming to die in the house of common what can May do? Well there are currently two realistic options for her which she highlighted in her speech to the house of common which would be; 1. Crash out of the EU on the 29th of march with no deal, which according to the bank of England would sink the UK's economy to a recession or 2. No Brexit at all which will result in May's political suicide as well as legal issue since the parliament would be ignoring the people's vote. This issue can be avoided by taking another referendum to the people and letting them decide between May's plan, no deal or no Brexit at all, which could save the reputation of many ministers since they would not be taking the final decision in the process.

Yet May is oddly optimistic about her chances in the house of common insisting she could get the deal through even if some of the minister in her own party vote against it, and if the deal would fail she did not rule out a second vote on it all be it with slight changes to the deal since the same proposal cannot be heard in the  house of commons twice.

So if all of May's options are exhausted what could happen? Well Mr Rees Mogg could get what he wants a leadership contest (which  seems unlikely but still is a possibility) within the conservative party. But who would be able to step up to the plate and relieve May's troubled position she finds herself in? Well "TLDR News" on Youtube answers this question and goes into further details in his video:



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