Saturday, December 8, 2018

Another Defeat For May



On the 4th of December The House of Commons voted in a historic vote to find the government headed by the Prime minister Theresa May to be in contempt of Parliament. The motion was passed due to the government disclosing only part of the legal advice on the Brexit deal ahead of the vote scheduled on  the 11 of December, instead of disclosing the full legal advice given to the government by the Attorney General.

What could his mean for May's government?
Well strictly speaking they are not obliged to publish the full legal document because the vote was not binding, yet should the government decide not to publish this advice the Parliament may take further actions suspending members from the House of Commons hindering May's planned Brexit vote making it more likely for the deal to die in the House.

Yet May is taking this issue quite lightly according to Lain Watson a BBC political correspondent  

            any defeat over the legal advice would be likely to come as "an unwelcome                     distraction rather than a disaster" for the prime minister.

Image result for defeated Theresa Mayso what does this say about May? she could be taking this too lightly avoiding all signs that the vote is bound to fail in the House whilst being too confident in her ability, or this could be part of a greater plan to blame the House should the UK crash out of the Eu with no deal just to save her political career.

But would May be that reckless all signs point otherwise. May has been trying to please all sides in her Brexit negotiations and tiptoeing around the hard headed stance the EU has taken on the single market, a crucial lifeline between the EU and UK trade. yet her plans has fallen short in satisfying anyone.

With these defeats May's government is looking evermore likely to loose control of the Brexit negotiations as more ministers in the house will (ahead of the Tuesday vote which looks like its going to fail) have more say on the negotiations process. In turn this will hinder May's vision on a future relationship with the EU as ministers will push to remove the back stop, which could see the Good Friday agreement be broken should the UK leave with no deal. This might once again flare tensions in the region which could see the dissolution of the British Union a prospect no one in the House of Commons wants to witness.

To take back control of the deal May will, in the end require to take back the deal to the people with a vote. This vote is most likely to suggest three options for the voters being; leave the EU with the government's deal, leave the eu with no deal (which would sink the UK into recession) or a third option remain in the EU. With this vote which might be May's final option will give her back the full control on Brexit as this would be the final people's vote.















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